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Understanding the Commodities Markets
Indian markets have
recently thrown open a new avenue for retail
investors and traders to participate:
commodity derivatives. For those who want to
diversify their portfolios beyond shares,
bonds and real estate, commodities is one of
the best options.
Commodities actually offer immense potential
to become a separate asset class for
market-savvy investors, arbitrageurs and
speculators. Commodities are easy to
understand and are based on the fundamentals
of demand and supply. Retail investors should
understand the risks and advantages of trading
in commodities futures before taking a leap.
Historically, prices in commodities futures
have been less volatile compared with equity
and bonds, thus providing an efficient
portfolio diversification option.
Like any other
market, the one for commodity futures plays a
valuable role in information pooling and risk
sharing. The market mediates between buyers
and sellers of commodities thus making the
underlying market more liquid.
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| 24 hrs SILVER Spot Price |
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What is a Commodity?
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The
dictionary defines commodities as 'Something
useful that can be turned to commercial or
other advantage’. Commodities refer to
things which in day-to-day life, we simply
take for granted like the wheat in our bread,
the cotton in our clothes, the gold in our
ornaments, the petrol in our cars and so on.
However, what many don't know, is that these
very ordinary items are also one of the finest
investment avenues available.
The term 'commodity'
includes all kinds of goods. FCRA defines
'goods' as 'every kind of movable property
other than actionable claims, money and
securities'. Futures' trading is organized in
such goods or commodities as are permitted by
the Central Government. At present, all goods
and products of agricultural (including
plantation), mineral and fossil origin is
allowed for futures trading under the auspices
of the commodity exchanges recognized under
the FCRA. The national commodity exchanges
have been recognized by the Central Government
for organizing trading in all permissible
commodities which include precious (gold and
silver) and non-ferrous metals; cereals and
pulses; raw jute and jute goods; sugar, gur,
potatoes, coffee, rubber and spices, etc.
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What
are commodity futures?
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Commodity
Futures are contracts to buy specific quantity
of a particular commodity at a future date. It
is similar to the Index futures and Stock
futures but the underlying happens to be
commodities instead of Stocks and Indices.
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Why
Trade in Commodity Exchanges?
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Hedgers
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No
counter party risks. |
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Higher
Leverage: Get high exposures for the margin
provided. |
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Prices
are pegged to international markets of NYMEX,
CBOT, CME, LME etc. |
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Portfolio
diversification: An investor can now diversify
his portfolio by investing in commodities
markets. |
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Arbitrage
opportunities: Take the advantage of price
spreads, calendar spreads and Inter exchange
spreads. |
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| Who
are the players in the Commodity Market?
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Investors
in the commodities market fall into the
following categories:
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Hedgers:
Hedgers enter into commodity contracts to be
assured access to a commodity, or the ability
to sell it, at a guaranteed price. They use
futures to protect themselves against
unanticipated fluctuations in the commodity's
price.
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Speculators:
Speculators are participants who wish to bet
on future movements in the price of an asset.
Individuals, willing to absorb risk, trade in
commodity futures as speculators. Speculating
in commodity futures is not for people who are
averse to risk. Unforeseen forces like weather
can affect supply and demand, and send
commodity prices up or down very rapidly. As a
result of this leveraged speculative position,
they increase the potential for large gains as
well as large losses.
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Arbitrageur:
A type of investor who attempts to profit from
price inefficiencies in the market by making
simultaneous trades that offset each other and
capture risk-free profits. Arbitrageurs
constitute a group of participants who lock
themselves in a risk-less profit by
simultaneously entering into transactions in
two or more contracts.
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HOW
DO COMMODITY PRICES MOVE?
The
following factors have an impact the commodity
prices.
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Natural
Factors: Soil and climatic conditions, natural
calamities etc. |
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Government
Policies - e.g. EXIM Policies like tariff
rates, minimum support prices. |
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Annual
production, consumption and carry-over
quantity of stocks. |
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Economic
policies and conditions: |
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Interest
Rates - e.g. hike in federal rates bring down
the dollar, thereby increasing lucrative-ness
of investment in precious metals. |
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Inflation
- commodity investment acts as a hedge against
inflation. |
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Substitution
– a commodity which is a substitute of
another commodity may affect the price of the
later |
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Political
Situation. |
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Consumer
Preferences
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The
Indian Commodity market stands out quite tall
amongst the global markets for a variety of
factors.
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Supply
– Worlds leading producer of 17 Agri
Commodities |
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Demand
– Worlds , major market of Bullion,
Foodgrains, Edible oils, Fibers, Spicies and
plantation crops. |
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GDP
Driver – Predominantly an AGRARIAN Economy |
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Captive
Market – Agro products produced and consumed
locally |
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Width
and Spread – Over 30 major markets and 5500
Mandies |
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Waiting
to Explode – Value of production around Rs.
3,00,000 crore and expected futures market
potential around Rs. 30,00,000 crore.
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Who
regulates the commodity exchanges?
Just as SEBI
regulates the stock exchanges, commodity
exchanges are regulated by the Forwards Market
Commission (FMC), which comes under the
purview of the Ministry of Food, Agriculture
and Public Distribution. |
What are the major
commodity exchanges?
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Multi-Commodity
Exchange of India Ltd, Mumbai (MCX). |
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National
Commodity and Derivatives Exchange of India,
Mumbai (NCDEX). |
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National
Multi Commodity Exchange, Ahemdabad (NMCE). |
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What
are the commodity derivatives market timings?
The commodity
derivatives timings are: NCDEX & MCX
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Monday
to Friday: 10 am to 11.30 pm (Agri-commodities
up to 5 p.m. only)
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Saturday:
10 am to 2 pm
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How
risky are these markets compared to stock
& bond markets?
Commodity
prices are generally less volatile than the
stocks and this has been statistically proven.
Therefore it's relatively safer to trade in
commodities. Also the regulatory authorities
ensure through continuous vigil that the
commodity prices are market-driven and free
from manipulations. However all investments
are subject to market risk and depend on the
individual’s decision.
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What
are the charges involved in trading on the
exchanges?
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Brokerage
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Service
Tax
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Transaction
Charges: Rs.4 per lakh on both NCDEX and MCX
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Stamp
Duty: Re.1per lakh
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What
is the Contracts expiry date?
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On
NCDEX it is always on 20th of every month.
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On
MCX it differs from commodity to commodity.
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How
are commodity contracts settled?
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All
open contracts, which are not intended for
delivery, are settled in cash.
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They
are settled on the following day after the
contract expiry date.
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Is
delivery of commodities available? Is it
compulsory?
Yes, but its
not compulsory, buyers and sellers intending
to take/give delivery should express their
intention to the exchange. The exchange will
match delivery randomly and assign it
accordingly. |
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Are
options also allowed in commodity derivatives?
No. Options
in goods are presently prohibited under
Section 19 of the Forward Contracts
(Regulation) Act, 1952. No exchange or person
can organize or enter into or make or perform
options in goods. However the market expects
the government to permit options trading in
commodities soon.
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